Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Points - Player Prop Bet 2/22/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

G-F · Oklahoma City Thunder

Points

Oklahoma City Thunder vs LA Clippers · Feb 22, 2024

Updated Feb 23, 2024 3:45 AM UTC

Analysis

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Points Prop is currently Over/Under 31.5 (-115/-115).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has successfully made 72.5% of his three-point attempts over the last 10 games, 31.6% higher than he's converted in all games this season.
Among all players in the league, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander places in the 93rd percentile for playing time, logging a whopping 34.7 minutes per game with the home court advantage this year.
The Oklahoma City Thunder check in as the 3rd-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games.
The 10th-fastest tempo home offense in the league over the last 25 games has been the Oklahoma City Thunder.
Over the last 10 games, opposing starting SGs have attempted 3.3 foul shots per game (26th-most in the NBA) vs. the Clippers, finding it easy to get to the foul line.

Favors Under

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has committed 2.5 personal fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the highest-fouling players in the league (86th percentile).
The matchup vs. Los Angeles is a tough one; when the LA Clippers are the visiting squad, they have given up the 15th-least points per game in the league to opposing starting SGs this year (11.4).
The Thunder are expected to experience a decrease in plays today from being pitted against the 6th-most lethargic tempo road offense in the NBA this year (the LA Clippers).
The Oklahoma City Thunder check in as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).
Over the last 10 games when they have the home court advantage, their opposition has grabbed 13.0 offensive boards per game (most in the league) vs. the Clippers (saving possessions that can result in bonus opportunities for offense).