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Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Points
Player Prop - 2/13/2024

Orlando Magic vs Oklahoma City Thunder

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Points Prop is currently Over/Under 31.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 31.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 31.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has put up 30.6 points per game without the home court advantage this year, ranking in the 99th percentile -- near the top of the league by this standard.

Among all players in the NBA, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander comes in at the 93rd percentile for playing time, averaging a whopping 34.4 minutes per game away from his home court this year.

The Thunder rank as the 3rd-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games.

The matchup against the Orlando Magic is a good one for shot attempts from the field; the opposition's starting SGs have averaged the 30th-most FG attempts per game in the league this year (14.8).

On their home court, the Magic have allowed the 2nd-least offensive rebounds per game (8.9) in the NBA to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has accumulated 2.4 personal fouls per game without the home court advantage this year, ranking him in the 80th percentile -- among the NBA's most foul-prone.

The 10th-least up-tempo tempo offense in the league over the last 10 games has been the Oklahoma City Thunder.

The Magic have played at the most sluggish tempo in the league over the last 20 games, which should decrease opportunities for the Thunder.

Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and produce added chances for scoring and assists, but the Thunder grade out 2ndworst in in the NBA with only 8.7 offensive boards per game this year.

In comparison to last season's 9.8 rate, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander's free throws scored have regressed this season to 8.0 per game.

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