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Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Points
Player Prop - 1/31/2024

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Denver Nuggets

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Points Prop is currently Over/Under 39.5 (-137/-137).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 33.5 @ -137 before it was bet up to 39.5 @ -137.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has converted 60.8% of his three-point attempts over the last 5 games, 24.4% more than he's converted from downtown over the course of the year.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has played 34.1 minutes per game when playing at home this year, ranking him in the 91st percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the league.

The Thunder rank as the 3rd-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year.

The matchup against the Nuggets is a positive one for getting to the foul line; the other team's starting SGs have attempted an enormous 3.7 foul shots per game this year (28th-most in the league).

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander will likely see a spike in efficiency across the board considering owning the home court advantage in this game.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Out of all players in the NBA, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander comes in at the 84th percentile for personal fouls, averaging an enormous 2.5 fouls per game at home this year.

Over the last 25 games, the opposition's starting SGs have notched 15.6 points per game (15th-lowest in the league) against the Nuggets, making this a difficult matchup for offensive production.

The 7th-most lethargic tempo offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Oklahoma City Thunder.

The Oklahoma City Thunder are expected to see a decline in opportunities in this contest from facing the slowest tempo visiting offense in the league over the last 10 games (the Denver Nuggets).

The Oklahoma City Thunder rank as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).

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