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Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Points
Player Prop - 1/2/2024

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Boston Celtics

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Points Prop is currently Over/Under 31.5 (-137/+104).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has tallied 31.2 points per game this year, putting him among the best players in the league by this metric: 99th percentile.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has tallied 34.2 minutes per game while playing at home this year, placing him in the 91st percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the league.

The Thunder rank as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 15 games while playing at home.

The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 4th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games while on their home court.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander will enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing at home tends to improve player production for all stats.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has averaged 2.3 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the highest-fouling players in the league (78th percentile).

The matchup vs. Boston is a difficult one for shots from the field; when the Boston Celtics are away from home, the other team's starting SGs have posted the 12th-lowest Field Goal% in the league this year (38.1%).

The Oklahoma City Thunder are expected to suffer a reduction in plays today from competing against the 3rd-most lethargic tempo offense in the league over the last 25 games (the Boston Celtics).

The Thunder have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).

The Celtics have allowed the 2nd-most offensive boards per game (12.1) in the NBA to the other team over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

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