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Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Points
Player Prop - 12/31/2023

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Brooklyn Nets

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Points Prop is currently Over/Under 33.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 33.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 33.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has made 12.8 baskets per game over the last 5 games, 1.4 more than he's converted in all games this year.

Out of all players in the NBA, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander slots into the 91st percentile for playing time, registering a whopping 34.2 minutes per game playing at home this year.

When it comes to offense, the Thunder's superb 127.2 points per game while on their home court ranks 2nd-most in the NBA over the last 10 games.

This year, opposing starting SGs have tallied 6.2 three attempts per game (29th-highest in the NBA) against the Brooklyn Nets, identifying this as a positive matchup.

The 4th-speediest pace home team in the league over the last 15 games has been the Oklahoma City Thunder.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has committed 2.3 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the most-whistled players in the NBA (77th percentile).

The Thunder will likely experience a decrease in opportunities in this contest from competing against the 6th-most sluggish pace offense in the league over the last 25 games (the Nets).

The Thunder rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

Over the last 15 games when they are on their home court, opposing teams have collected 11.9 offensive boards per game (4th-most in the NBA) against the Nets (saving possessions that can produce extra opportunities for offense).

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has converted a lowly 7.6 foul shots per game this season, significantly less than his 9.8 mark last season.

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