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Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Points
Player Prop - 11/25/2023

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Philadelphia 76ers

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Points Prop is currently Over/Under 31.5 (-130/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 31.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 31.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has sunk 53.6% of his 3-point attempts over the last 5 games at home, 12.6% more than he's made from beyond the arc overall this season on his home court.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has attempted 3.8 three-pointers per game this year, quite a bit higher than his 2.5 mark last year.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has played 33.6 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 89th percentile.

The Thunder check in as the 9th-highest scoring offense in the league playing at home this year.

The matchup vs. Philadelphia is a positive one for 3-point shots; when the Philadelphia 76ers are at home, the opposing team's starting SFs have totaled the 22nd-most threes per game in the league since the start of last season (1.9).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Oklahoma City Thunder are expected to suffer a drop-off in plays in this game from squaring off against the 5th-least up-tempo tempo home team in the league this year (the Philadelphia 76ers).

Offensive rebounds save possession and generate additional chances for scoring and assists, but the Oklahoma City Thunder grade out 1stworst in in the league with just 7.5 offensive rebounds per game this year.

When playing away from home, the Philadelphia 76ers have allowed the 8th-most offensive boards per game (11.8) in the league to opposing squads over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce new chances for scoring and assists).

The matchup vs. Philadelphia is a tough one for drawing fouls; opposing starting SFs have attempted a measly 2.9 free throws per game since the start of last season when the Philadelphia 76ers are on their home court (7th-least in the NBA).

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