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Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Points
Player Prop - 11/18/2023

Golden State Warriors vs Oklahoma City Thunder

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Points Prop is currently Over/Under 30.5 (-140/+100).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has totaled a whopping 31.4 points per game this year, quite a bit higher than his 30.8 points per game last year.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has played 33.9 minutes per game when playing at home this year, ranking in the 88th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the NBA.

In regard to offense, the Thunder's exceptional 117.5 points per game playing at home places 7th-best in the NBA this year.

The Thunder have played at the 5th-speediest tempo in the NBA this year.

This year when they are the visiting squad, the other team's starting SGs have attempted 3.6 foul shots per game (23rd-highest in the NBA) vs. the Golden State Warriors, finding it easy to get to the foul line.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The matchup against Golden State is a difficult one for threes; when the Warriors are the visiting squad, the other team's starting SGs have averaged the 13th-least shots from downtown per game in the NBA this year (1.5).

Offensive rebounds maintain possession and create bonus chances for scoring and assists, but the Oklahoma City Thunder rank 1stworst in in the league when playing at home with only 6.8 offensive rebounds per game this year.

The Warriors have allowed the 10th-most offensive boards per game (11.2) in the NBA to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has converted a measly 6.2 free throws per game this season, a sizeable decrease from his 9.8 rate last season.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander stands to suffer a reduction in production for all stats as a result of playing on the visting team in this matchup.

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