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Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Points
Player Prop - 4/12/2023

New Orleans Pelicans vs Oklahoma City Thunder

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Points Prop is currently Over/Under 32.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 32.5 @ -116 before it was bet up to 32.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has converted a terrific 10.4 buckets per game this year, quite a bit more than his 8.5 mark last year.

The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 5th-most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 25 games.

The Oklahoma City Thunder have been the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games while playing away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create new chances for scoring and assists).

The Pelicans have given up the 2nd-least offensive rebounds per game (8.6) in the NBA to their opposition over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has attempted 10.9 foul shots per game this season, a significant increase from his 7.2 mark last season.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has accumulated 3.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.0 higher than he's accumulated in all games this year.

The Oklahoma City Thunder check in as the 3rd-least efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA over the last 5 games.

The matchup against New Orleans is a difficult one for scoring; when the Pelicans have the home court advantage, the opposition's starting SGs have tallied the 14th-least shots made from the field per game in the league this year (5.3).

The Pelicans have played at the 6th-most lethargic pace in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to lead to decreased opportunities for the Thunder.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander will not enjoy the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home city usually worsens stat production in all stat categories.

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