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Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Points
Player Prop - 4/4/2023

Golden State Warriors vs Oklahoma City Thunder

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Points Prop is currently Over/Under 31.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 31.5 @ -122 before it was bet up to 31.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has played 34.8 minutes per game while playing on the road this year, ranking in the 95th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA.

This matchup is a challenging one for field goals; opposing clubs have put up the lowest Field Goal% in the league over the last 10 games when the Warriors have the home court advantage (44.1%).

The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 5th-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA this year.

The Warriors have played at the most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league this year, which should lead to more opportunities for the Thunder.

The Oklahoma City Thunder have been the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has sunk a measly 0.8 threes per game this season, significantly less than his 1.6 mark last season.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has averaged 2.6 personal fouls per game when playing away from home this year, putting him in the 85th percentile -- among the league's most foul-prone.

The Oklahoma City Thunder check in as the least efficient 3-point shooting team in the league over the last 5 games when playing on the road.

The matchup against the Warriors is a challenging one for three-pointers; opposing starting SGs have averaged the 14th-least 3-point shots per game in the NBA this year (1.9).

The Warriors have allowed the 6th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.5) in the league to the other team over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists).

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