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Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Points
Player Prop - 3/31/2023

Indiana Pacers vs Oklahoma City Thunder

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Points Prop is currently Over/Under 31.5 (-115/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 31.5 @ -104 before it was bet up to 31.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has averaged 34.7 minutes per game without the home court advantage this year, ranking in the 95th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the NBA.

The matchup against the Pacers is a favorable one; they have given up the 30th-most points per game in the NBA to the other team's starting SGs this year (19.6).

The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 4th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games.

The Pacers have played at the speediest pace-of-play in the league on their home court this year, which ought to increase possessions for the Thunder.

The Oklahoma City Thunder check in as the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games when playing on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new opportunities for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has attempted a mere 2.5 3-point shots per game this season, significantly less than his 5.3 mark last season.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has averaged 2.5 personal fouls per game when playing away from home this year, ranking in the 82nd percentile -- among the league's highest-fouling.

The Oklahoma City Thunder have been the 7th-least efficient 3-point shooting team in the league over the last 10 games.

The Pacers have given up the most offensive rebounds per game (12.0) in the NBA to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home city tends to reduces player production in all stat categories.

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