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Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Points
Player Prop - 3/23/2023

LA Clippers vs Oklahoma City Thunder

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Points Prop is currently Over/Under 31.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 31.5 @ +100 before it was bet up to 31.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has played 35.1 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the league: 96th percentile.

The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 2nd-quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games.

The Oklahoma City Thunder check in as the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games when playing on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has converted an impressive 9.7 foul shots per game this year, significantly higher than his 5.9 mark last year.

The matchup vs. the Clippers may be a good one for getting to the free throw line; the opposition's starting SGs have attempted an enormous 3.7 foul shots per game over the last 20 games (24th-most in the league).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has converted just 0.9 treys per game this year, significantly less than his 1.6 rate last year.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has accumulated 2.5 personal fouls per game away from his home court this year, putting him in the 82nd percentile -- among the league's highest-fouling.

The Oklahoma City Thunder have been the least efficient shooting team in the league over the last 25 games without the home court advantage.

The matchup vs. Los Angeles is a difficult one; when the Clippers have the home court advantage, they have given up the 13th-least points per game in the NBA to the opposing team's starting SGs this year (15.0).

The Clippers have played at the 4th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games at home, which ought to lead to fewer possessions for the Thunder.

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