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Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Points
Player Prop - 2/10/2023

Portland Trail Blazers vs Oklahoma City Thunder

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Points Prop is currently Over/Under 31.5 (-108/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 31.5 @ -111 before it was bet down to 31.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has converted an impressive 10.2 field goals per game this season, quite a bit more than his 8.5 mark last season.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has averaged 34.9 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA: 95th percentile.

The matchup vs. Anfernee Simons is a strong one for shots from downtown; when guarding opposing starting SGs this year, they have made a monstrous 41.4% of their three-point shots (90th percentile).

The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games.

The Oklahoma City Thunder have been the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games while playing on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create added chances for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has accumulated 3.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.1 more than he's accumulated overall this season.

The Trail Blazers have played at the 8th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which ought to lead to fewer plays for the Thunder.

As a team, the Oklahoma City Thunder have been poor at getting to the free throw line recently: worst in the league over the last 5 games when playing away from home, averaging a measly 18.0 free throws per game.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander will not hold the home court advantage in this game. Playing while traveling tends to worsens player production in all facets of the game.

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