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Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Points
Player Prop - 2/7/2023

Los Angeles Lakers vs Oklahoma City Thunder

 
 
 
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Points Prop is currently Over/Under 30.5 (-145/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 30.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 30.5 @ -145.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has converted an impressive 10.3 field goals per game this season, quite a bit higher than his 8.5 rate last season.
  • Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has been on the court for 35.1 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 95th percentile.
  • This matchup is a good one for 3-pointers; opposing clubs have put up the 2nd-highest three rate in the NBA this year (34.2%).
  • The Lakers have played at the 2nd-speediest pace-of-play in the league this year, which should lead to more opportunities for the Thunder.
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder rank as the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games when playing on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has tallied 2.5 personal fouls per game while playing away from home this year, ranking him in the 80th percentile -- among the NBA's highest-fouling.
  • The matchup against Los Angeles is a difficult one for shots from the field; when the Lakers have the home court advantage, the opposition's starting SGs have tallied the 8th-least FG attempts per game in the NBA this year (12.4).
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 9th-most sluggish pace in the league over the last 5 games without the home court advantage.
  • At home, the Lakers have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (15.8) in the league to opposing clubs over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).
  • As a team, the Oklahoma City Thunder have been quite unsuccesful at getting to the free throw line in recent days: 3rd-worst in the league over the last 5 games away from home, totaling a mere 19.2 foul shots per game.

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