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Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Points
Player Prop - 2/1/2023

Houston Rockets vs Oklahoma City Thunder

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Points Prop is currently Over/Under 31.5 (-150/+115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 31.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 31.5 @ -150.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has converted 12.8 field goals per game over the last 5 games, 2.5 more than he's made overall this year.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has converted an impressive 9.2 foul shots per game this season, significantly higher than his 5.9 mark last season.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has tallied 35.1 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the NBA: 95th percentile.

The Oklahoma City Thunder have been the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games when playing on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists).

The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 4th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games when playing away from home.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has committed 2.4 personal fouls per game on the road this year, placing him in the 77th percentile -- among the league's most-whistled.

When playing at home, the Rockets have allowed the 6th-least offensive rebounds per game (11.6) in the league to their opposition this year (which will also lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).

The Oklahoma City Thunder have been the 3rd-least aggressive offense in the league over the last 5 games in terms of three-point attempts.

The matchup vs. the Rockets is a tough one for drawing fouls; the other team's starting SGs have attempted a lowly 2.5 free throws per game this year (5th-least in the NBA).

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home stadium generally reduces player production in all stat categories.

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