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Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Made 3 Point Shots
Player Prop - 1/10/2024

Miami Heat vs Oklahoma City Thunder

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+124/-158).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -152 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -158.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has sunk 2.0 threes per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 more than he's sunk over the course of the year.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has been on the court for 34.8 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the NBA: 94th percentile.

In terms of treys, the Thunder's remarkable 39.4% rate of sunk threes settles in as the best in the NBA this year.

The matchup vs. the Miami Heat is a favorable one for shot attempts from beyond the arc; opposing starting SGs have totaled the 30th-most 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (6.3).

The Thunder have played at the 8th-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has been called for 3.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.2 higher than he's been called for over the course of the year.

The Thunder will likely see a decline in possessions in this game from sharing the court with the 2nd-slowest pace-of-play team in the league over the last 25 games (the Heat).

The Oklahoma City Thunder have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing on the road generally lowers player production in all stat categories.

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