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Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Made 3 Point Shots
Player Prop - 12/29/2023

Denver Nuggets vs Oklahoma City Thunder

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+145/-195).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +175 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +145.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Out of all players in the NBA, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander lands in the 84th percentile for three-point proficiency while on the road with a a phenomenal 43.3% rate this year.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has averaged 34.7 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the league: 94th percentile.

The Thunder have been the most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league while playing on the road this year.

The matchup against Denver is a good one for 3-point attempts; the other team's starting SGs have averaged the 26th-most 3-point attempts per game in the league over the last 5 games when the Nuggets have the home court advantage (7.6).

The Thunder have played at the 6th-fastest tempo in the league over the last 10 games.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Oklahoma City Thunder are expected to suffer a reduction in possessions today from sharing the court with the 2nd-most sluggish pace team in the NBA this year (the Nuggets).

Offensive rebounds maintain possession and result in extra opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Oklahoma City Thunder rank 1stworst in in the league with just 8.2 offensive rebounds per game this year.

The Denver Nuggets have given up the 3rd-most offensive boards per game (12.3) in the league to opposing squads over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing without the home court advantage generally decreases stat production in all facets of the game.

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