Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 10/25/2023

NBA · Player Props

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

G-F · Oklahoma City Thunder

Made 3 Point Shots

Chicago Bulls vs Oklahoma City Thunder · Oct 25, 2023

Updated Oct 25, 2023 11:26 PM EST

Analysis

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-170/+130).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has played 35.1 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the league: 96th percentile.
The matchup vs. Chicago is a positive one for shot attempts from beyond the arc; when the Chicago Bulls are on the road, the opposing team's starting SGs have averaged the 27th-most three attempts per game in the league this year (6.7).
The Thunder have played at the 4th-most up-tempo tempo in the league while on the road this year.
The Thunder rank as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA while playing away from home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists).
This year when they are on the road, opposing teams have nabbed 9.7 offensive boards per game (6th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Bulls (reducing possessions that could otherwise generate added chances for offense).

Favors Under

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has made a measly 0.9 shots from downtown per game this year, a significant dropoff from his 1.6 mark last year.
Compared to his full-year rate of core.FORMAT(RATE2,1) fouls per [AWAY_ROAD] game, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander's rate of personal fouls has surged by core.FORMAT(ABS(DIFF_RATE),1) per game over the last 5 games [AS_A_VISITING_PLAYER].
In terms of 3-pointers, the Oklahoma City Thunder's lackluster 31.5% rate of successful threes measures as the 3rd-worst in the NBA over the last 15 games.
The {OPP_TEAM} are expected to suffer a reduction in possessions today from sharing the court with the 7th-most lethargic pace-of-play visiting offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (the Bulls).
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander figures to see a decline in productivity in all facets of the game on account of being on the road in this contest.