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Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Assists
Player Prop - 5/11/2025

Denver Nuggets vs Oklahoma City Thunder

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-137/+104).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ -112 before it was bet up to 7.5 @ -137.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has put up 7.4 assists per game over the last 5 games, 1.0 more than he's put up in all games this season.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has averaged 34.4 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the NBA: 93rd percentile.

The 2nd-fastest pace-of-play team in the league over the last 15 games has been the Thunder.

The Thunder rank as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has averaged 3.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.0 more than he's averaged overall this year.

The Nuggets have played at the 7th-slowest tempo in the league over the last 10 games, which should reduce possessions for the Oklahoma City Thunder.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander will likely see a decline in production in all facets of the game considering playing on the visting team in this game.

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