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Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Assists
Player Prop - 5/9/2025

Denver Nuggets vs Oklahoma City Thunder

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 7.5 @ -105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has tallied 6.4 assists per game this year, placing him in the 97th percentile -- near the top of the league in this category in recent days.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has played 34.2 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the NBA: 93rd percentile.

The most up-tempo pace offense in the league over the last 15 games has been the Thunder.

Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and create added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Thunder rank 8th-best in in the league with 11.8 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has been called for 3.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.2 more than he's been called for in all games this season.

The Oklahoma City Thunder will likely suffer a drop-off in plays in this contest from sharing the court with the 8th-most lethargic pace team in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Nuggets).

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander will not hold the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home court usually worsens player performance across the board.

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