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Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Assists
Player Prop - 3/22/2024

Toronto Raptors vs Oklahoma City Thunder

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 6.5 @ -150 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ +105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has posted a whopping 6.4 assists per game this season, significantly higher than his 5.4 assists per game last season.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has tallied 34.5 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the NBA: 94th percentile.

The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 5th-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games.

The Thunder will likely see an increase in possessions in this game from being pitted against the speediest pace home team in the league over the last 10 games (the Toronto Raptors).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has committed 2.5 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the most foul-prone players in the league (88th percentile).

The Thunder rank as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing without the home court advantage tends to worsen player production for all stats.

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