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Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Assists
Player Prop - 2/27/2024

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Houston Rockets

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-140/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ -135 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ -140.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has compiled 9.4 assists per game over the last 5 games with the home court advantage, 2.3 higher than he's compiled over the course of the year at home.

Among all players in the NBA, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander registers in the 92nd percentile for playing time, registering a colossal 34.6 minutes per game when playing at home this year.

The Thunder have played at the 7th-most up-tempo tempo in the league over the last 5 games.

The Oklahoma City Thunder are expected to see a spike in opportunities today from squaring off against the 6th-fastest pace away offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Houston Rockets).

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander figures to get a boost in production across the board in light of possessing the home court advantage in this matchup.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Out of all players in the league, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander ranks in the 85th percentile for personal fouls, registering a colossal 2.5 fouls per game this year.

The Oklahoma City Thunder have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league playing at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

The Rockets have given up the 4th-most offensive boards per game (13.0) in the league to opposing squads over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create new opportunities for scoring and assists).

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