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Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Assists
Player Prop - 1/29/2024

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Minnesota Timberwolves

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has compiled 6.6 assists per game when playing at home this year, ranking in the 97th percentile -- near the top of the league in this category.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has tallied 33.9 minutes per game while on his home court this year, ranking him in the 90th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA.

Over the last 10 games, opposing clubs have brought down 8.2 offensive boards per game (lowest in the league) vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves (shortening possessions that could otherwise bring about further chances for offense).

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander should see a spike in performance in all facets of the game due to controlling the home court advantage in this matchup.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has been called for 2.5 personal fouls per game playing at home this year, ranking him in the 84th percentile -- among the NBA's highest-fouling.

The 10th-least up-tempo pace-of-play team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Oklahoma City Thunder.

The Timberwolves have played at the 4th-least up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 20 games, which should lead to fewer possessions for the Thunder.

Offensive rebounds retain possession and spark more chances for scoring and assists, but the Oklahoma City Thunder grade out 2ndworst in in the league with a mere 8.6 offensive boards per game this year.

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