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Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Assists
Player Prop - 1/24/2024

San Antonio Spurs vs Oklahoma City Thunder

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-254/+178).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ -160 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ -254.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has put up 6.1 assists per game this year on the road, ranking him among the best in the league by this standard in recent days: 96th percentile.

Out of all players in the NBA, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander rates in the 93rd percentile for playing time, posting an enormous 34.5 minutes per game this year.

The Thunder have played at the 9th-quickest pace in the NBA this year.

The Spurs have played at the fastest pace in the league over the last 5 games at home, which should increase plays for the Oklahoma City Thunder.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Among all players in the league, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander slots into the 86th percentile for personal fouls, tallying a colossal 2.6 fouls per game this year.

The Oklahoma City Thunder have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).

Over the last 5 games, their opposition has snagged 13.6 offensive rebounds per game (most in the NBA) against the Spurs (retaining possessions that can lead to bonus chances for offense).

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander will likely suffer a drop-off in production across the board considering playing away from home in this contest.

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