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Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Assists
Player Prop - 1/10/2024

Miami Heat vs Oklahoma City Thunder

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (+108/-143).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ +110 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ +108.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has totaled 6.4 assists per game this year, ranking in the 96th percentile -- among the NBA's best in this category in recent games.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has been on the court for 34.8 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the NBA: 94th percentile.

The Thunder have played at the 8th-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games.

Over the last 25 games, their opposition has secured 8.9 offensive boards per game (fewest in the league) against the Miami Heat (diminishing possessions that could otherwise lead to more chances for offense).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has been called for 3.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.2 higher than he's been called for over the course of the year.

The Thunder will likely see a decline in possessions in this game from sharing the court with the 2nd-slowest pace-of-play team in the league over the last 25 games (the Heat).

The Oklahoma City Thunder have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing on the road generally lowers player production in all stat categories.

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