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Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Assists
Player Prop - 12/29/2023

Denver Nuggets vs Oklahoma City Thunder

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (+105/-140).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ +115 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ +105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has posted 6.5 assists per game this year, ranking him in the 96th percentile -- one of the best in the NBA by this metric over this stretch.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has averaged 34.7 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the league: 94th percentile.

The Thunder have played at the 6th-fastest tempo in the league over the last 10 games.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Oklahoma City Thunder are expected to suffer a reduction in possessions today from sharing the court with the 2nd-most sluggish pace team in the NBA this year (the Nuggets).

Offensive rebounds maintain possession and result in extra opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Oklahoma City Thunder rank 1stworst in in the league with just 8.2 offensive rebounds per game this year.

The Denver Nuggets have given up the 3rd-most offensive boards per game (12.3) in the league to opposing squads over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing without the home court advantage generally decreases stat production in all facets of the game.

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