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Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Assists
Player Prop - 11/18/2023

Golden State Warriors vs Oklahoma City Thunder

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ +100 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ -105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has totaled 6.0 assists per game at home this year, putting him in the 96th percentile -- among the best in the NBA by this metric.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has played 33.9 minutes per game when playing at home this year, ranking in the 88th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the NBA.

The Thunder have played at the 5th-speediest tempo in the NBA this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Offensive rebounds maintain possession and create bonus chances for scoring and assists, but the Oklahoma City Thunder rank 1stworst in in the league when playing at home with only 6.8 offensive rebounds per game this year.

The Warriors have allowed the 10th-most offensive boards per game (11.2) in the NBA to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander stands to suffer a reduction in production for all stats as a result of playing on the visting team in this matchup.

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