Shaedon Sharpe Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 12/19/2023

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Shaedon Sharpe

NBA · Player Props

Shaedon Sharpe

G · Portland Trail Blazers

Rebounds

Portland Trail Blazers vs Phoenix Suns · Dec 19, 2023

Updated Dec 20, 2023 1:54 AM EST

Analysis

Shaedon Sharpe Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Shaedon Sharpe has tallied 1.6 offensive boards per game this year at home, ranking him among the NBA's best by this metric over this stretch: 84th percentile.
Compared to last year's 22.2 rate, Shaedon Sharpe's playing time has surged this year to 36.1 minutes per game.
The Trail Blazers check in as the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA with the home court advantage this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists).
Shaedon Sharpe is expected to get a boost in performance for all stats on account of having the home court advantage in this contest.

Favors Under

Shaedon Sharpe has averaged 2.9 personal fouls per game at home this year, ranking in the 89th percentile -- among the NBA's most foul-prone.
The Portland Trail Blazers have played at the 4th-slowest pace in the league over the last 15 games.
The Trail Blazers are expected to experience a decrease in plays in this contest from squaring off against the most lethargic pace away offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Suns).
This year when they are at home, the other team has nabbed 13.8 offensive rebounds per game (most in the league) vs. the Phoenix Suns (retaining possessions that can produce bonus chances for offense).

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