Shaedon Sharpe Points - Player Prop Bet 11/16/2025

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Shaedon Sharpe

NBA · Player Props

Shaedon Sharpe

G · Portland Trail Blazers

Points

Dallas Mavericks vs Portland Trail Blazers · Nov 16, 2025

Updated Nov 17, 2025 12:39 AM EST

Analysis

Shaedon Sharpe Points Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (-115/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 20.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 22.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Shaedon Sharpe has scored 24.8 points per game over the last 5 games, 3.9 higher than he's scored overall this year.
The matchup against Dallas is a strong one for 3-pointers; when the Mavericks are at home, the other team's starting SGs have tallied the 3rd-most three-point shots per game in the NBA this year (2.8).
The Portland Trail Blazers have played at the 3rd-quickest pace in the league this year.
The Portland Trail Blazers will likely see an increase in opportunities in this contest from competing against the 3rd-quickest pace home offense in the NBA this year (the Dallas Mavericks).
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and spark more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Trail Blazers grade out 2nd-best in the NBA as the road team with 15.6 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Favors Under

With respect to 3-point shots, the Trail Blazers's subpar 32.7% rate of sunk threes ranks 5th-worst in the league over the last 10 games.
The matchup against the Mavericks may be a hard one for drawing fouls; the other team's starting PGs have attempted a mere 2.9 free throws per game over the last 20 games (least in the NBA).

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