Shaedon Sharpe Points - Player Prop Bet 12/23/2024

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Shaedon Sharpe

NBA · Player Props

Shaedon Sharpe

G · Portland Trail Blazers

Points

Dallas Mavericks vs Portland Trail Blazers · Dec 23, 2024

Updated Dec 24, 2024 4:01 AM EST

Analysis

Shaedon Sharpe Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-132/+100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 15.5 @ +102 before it was bet down to 15.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Shaedon Sharpe has successfully made 49.6% of his field goal attempts over the last 5 games on the road, 5.7% higher than he's made overall this season without the home court advantage.
This year when they are the visiting team, opposing starting SGs have averaged 2.8 threes per game (3rd-most in the league) against the Dallas Mavericks, identifying this as a strong matchup.
The Portland Trail Blazers will likely get a boost in plays in this contest from being pitted against the 7th-most up-tempo tempo team in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Mavericks).
The Trail Blazers check in as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games as the visting team (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

When it comes to scoring, the Portland Trail Blazers's lackluster 101.1 points per game while playing on the road comes in as the lowest in the league over the last 10 games.
The Trail Blazers have played at the most sluggish pace in the league over the last 5 games away from their home court.
Shaedon Sharpe has made a lowly 71.8% of his free throw attempts this year, a significant dropoff from his 86.6 mark last year.
Over the last 10 games, the opposition's starting SGs have attempted 1.8 foul shots per game (6th-lowest in the NBA) against the Dallas Mavericks, making it tough to draw fouls.
Shaedon Sharpe will not have the home court advantage in this contest. Playing while traveling tends to reduce player production in all facets of the game.

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