Shaedon Sharpe Points - Player Prop Bet 11/13/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Shaedon Sharpe

G · Portland Trail Blazers

Points

Portland Trail Blazers vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Nov 13, 2024

Updated Nov 14, 2024 3:04 AM EST

Analysis

Shaedon Sharpe Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-123/-104).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 13.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 12.5 @ -104.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The matchup against Minnesota is a positive one for three-pointers; when the Minnesota Timberwolves are the visiting team, the other team's starting SGs have totaled the 4th-most shots from downtown per game in the NBA this year (2.6).
The 5th-most up-tempo pace-of-play home team in the league this year has been the Trail Blazers.
Offensive rebounds save possession and result in extra chances for scoring and assists, and the Portland Trail Blazers grade out 3rd-best in in the league with 13.5 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games.
Out of all players in the league, Shaedon Sharpe slots into the 86th percentile for foul shots drained, logging a whopping 2.8 per game since the start of last season.
Shaedon Sharpe figures to see an increase in effectiveness for all stats due to controlling the home court advantage in this matchup.

Favors Under

Out of all players in the NBA, Shaedon Sharpe measures in the 18th percentile for field goal efficiency with an unimpressive 39.1% rate since the start of last season.
Shaedon Sharpe has tallied 2.6 personal fouls per game since the start of last season, ranking him as one of the most foul-whistled players in the league (90th percentile).
The Trail Blazers check in as the 3rd-lowest scoring offense in the NBA this year.
The Trail Blazers will likely suffer a reduction in plays today from competing against the 10th-most sluggish pace visiting team in the NBA this year (the Timberwolves).
Over the last 20 games, the opposing team's starting SGs have attempted 2.2 foul shots per game (2nd-lowest in the league) against the Minnesota Timberwolves, struggling to get to the charity stripe.