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Seth Curry

Seth Curry Points
Player Prop - 12/28/2023

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Dallas Mavericks

Seth Curry Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-145/+115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 8.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ +115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Seth Curry has sunk 45.1% of his attempts from downtown over the last 15 games, 10.4% higher than he's converted from beyond the arc over the course of the year.

Seth Curry has been called for 1.0 personal fouls per game on the road this year, putting him in the 17th percentile -- among the league's least-whistled.

In regard to scoring, the Dallas Mavericks's superb 116.9 points per game while on the road measures as the 6th-highest in the NBA over the last 15 games.

This year, the other team has logged 107.3 points per game (fewest in the league) against the Timberwolves, identifying this as a hard matchup for offensive productivity.

The Mavericks have played at the 3rd-fastest pace in the NBA over the last 15 games while on the road.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Seth Curry has tallied 13.1 minutes per game this year, riding the bench far more than most players in the league: 21st percentile.

The Dallas Mavericks are expected to experience a decrease in plays today from squaring off against the 10th-most sluggish tempo offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Minnesota Timberwolves).

The Dallas Mavericks have been the 9th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA as the road team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).

This year when they are the visiting squad, opposing teams have nabbed 12.5 offensive rebounds per game (3rd-most in the NBA) against the Timberwolves (retaining possessions that can lead to more chances for offense).

Seth Curry stands to suffer a reduction in output in all stat categories in light of being on the road in this matchup.

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