Scottie Barnes Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 1/7/2024

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Scottie Barnes

NBA · Player Props

Scottie Barnes

F · Toronto Raptors

Rebounds

Golden State Warriors vs Toronto Raptors · Jan 7, 2024

Updated Jan 8, 2024 1:18 AM EST

Analysis

Scottie Barnes Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-111/-123).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -103 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ -111.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Scottie Barnes has tallied 6.2 defensive boards per game this year on the road, placing him among the hottest players in the league in this category in recent games: 95th percentile.
Out of all players in the NBA, Scottie Barnes registers in the 96th percentile for playing time, tallying a massive 35.3 minutes per game this year.
The 4th-speediest pace road offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Toronto Raptors.
The Toronto Raptors rank as the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The Toronto Raptors will likely suffer a drop-off in possessions in this contest from sharing the court with the 7th-most lethargic pace-of-play team in the league over the last 5 games (the Golden State Warriors).
When playing at home, the Warriors have given up the 2nd-most offensive boards per game (11.7) in the NBA to their opposition over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new chances for scoring and assists).
Scottie Barnes will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home city usually worsens stat production in all facets of the game.

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