Scottie Barnes Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 12/27/2023

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Scottie Barnes

NBA · Player Props

Scottie Barnes

F · Toronto Raptors

Rebounds

Washington Wizards vs Toronto Raptors · Dec 27, 2023

Updated Dec 27, 2023 11:44 PM EST

Analysis

Scottie Barnes Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ +105 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Scottie Barnes has totaled 8.2 defensive boards per game over the last 5 games, 1.5 more than he's totaled over the course of the season.
Scottie Barnes has been on the court for 35.1 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA: 96th percentile.
The Washington Wizards have played at the quickest tempo in the NBA this year, which should raise plays for the Toronto Raptors.
The Toronto Raptors check in as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games while playing on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The 6th-most sluggish tempo offense in the league over the last 10 games has been the Toronto Raptors.
This year when they are the visiting squad, opposing squads have snagged 13.3 offensive rebounds per game (most in the NBA) against the Washington Wizards (maintaining possessions that can create extra opportunities for offense).
Scottie Barnes will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home city generally worsens stat production across the board.

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