Scottie Barnes Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 11/17/2023

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Scottie Barnes

NBA · Player Props

Scottie Barnes

F · Toronto Raptors

Rebounds

Toronto Raptors vs Boston Celtics · Nov 17, 2023

Updated Nov 18, 2023 1:04 AM EST

Analysis

Scottie Barnes Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-115/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ +100 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Scottie Barnes has averaged a terrific 3.0 offensive boards per game this year, a sizeable increase from his 2.4 offensive boards per game last year.
Out of all players in the league, Scottie Barnes registers in the 91st percentile for playing time, compiling a whopping 34.5 minutes per game this year.
The Toronto Raptors rank as the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA as the home team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
This year when they are the visiting squad, their opposition has secured 10.3 offensive rebounds per game (9th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Celtics (turning over possessions that could otherwise generate bonus chances for offense).
Scottie Barnes stands to see an increase in performance in all facets of the game as a result of controlling the home court advantage in this matchup.

Favors Under

The Toronto Raptors have played at the 5th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games away from their home court.
The Celtics have played at the most sluggish pace in the NBA over the last 5 games on their home court, which ought to lead to fewer opportunities for the Raptors.

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