Scottie Barnes Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 10/25/2023

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Scottie Barnes

NBA · Player Props

Scottie Barnes

F · Toronto Raptors

Rebounds

Toronto Raptors vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Oct 25, 2023

Updated Oct 25, 2023 11:07 PM EST

Analysis

Scottie Barnes Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-145/+110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 6.5 @ -150 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ +110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Scottie Barnes has tallied 2.8 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games on the road, core.FORMAT(ABS(DIFF_RATE),1) higher than he's tallied over the course of the year on the road.
Out of all players in the NBA, Scottie Barnes rates in the 93rd percentile for playing time, compiling a massive 34.4 minutes per game on his home court this year.
The Raptors rank as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league playing at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists).
Scottie Barnes ought to get a boost in productivity in all facets of the game as a result of possessing the home court advantage in this game.

Favors Under

Out of all players in the NBA, Scottie Barnes comes in at the 76th percentile for technical fouls, logging a whopping 0.1 fouls per game on the road this year.
The 5th-most lethargic tempo home team in the NBA this year has been the Raptors.
The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the 8th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games at home, which should reduce plays for the Raptors.
This year, opposing clubs have collected 11.3 offensive rebounds per game (4th-highest in the NBA) against the Timberwolves (maintaining possessions that can result in bonus opportunities for offense).

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