Scottie Barnes Points - Player Prop Bet 10/22/2025

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Scottie Barnes

NBA · Player Props

Scottie Barnes

F · Toronto Raptors

Points

Atlanta Hawks vs Toronto Raptors · Oct 22, 2025

Updated Oct 23, 2025 3:34 AM EST

Analysis

Scottie Barnes Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-275/+200).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 14.5 @ -260 before it was bet up to 15.5 @ -275.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Among all players in the NBA, Scottie Barnes ranks in the 91st percentile for shots from the field, averaging 16.4 per game since the start of last season.
Among all players in the league, Scottie Barnes lands in the 89th percentile for playing time, averaging a massive 32.9 minutes per game since the start of last season.
The matchup against the Hawks is a strong one for field goals; the other team's starting PFs have shot for the 3rd-highest field goal percentage in the league this year (54.1%).
The Toronto Raptors have played at the 7th-quickest tempo in the league since the start of last season.
The Toronto Raptors are expected to get a boost in plays in this contest from facing the 3rd-quickest pace offense in the league since the start of last season (the Atlanta Hawks).

Favors Under

Scottie Barnes has converted 27.5% of his three-point shots since the start of last season, putting him in the 20th percentile among all players in the league.
The Toronto Raptors have been the 8th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA since the start of last season.
The number of fouls drawn by other starting PFs vs. Jalen Johnson has been very low since the start of last season (2.3 foul shot attempts per game when they are on their home court: 4th percentile).
Scottie Barnes will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home court usually worsens player performance in all stat categories.

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