Scottie Barnes Points - Player Prop Bet 4/6/2025

reorder

NBA · Player Props

Scottie Barnes

F · Toronto Raptors

Points

Brooklyn Nets vs Toronto Raptors · Apr 6, 2025

Updated Apr 6, 2025 7:34 AM EST

Analysis

Scottie Barnes Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 16.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 16.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Scottie Barnes has attempted 16.1 shots per game this year, putting him in the 91st percentile among all players in the NBA.
Scottie Barnes has played 33.0 minutes per game while playing away from home this year, ranking in the 90th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the league.
The showdown with Jalen Wilson measures in the 93rd percentile with opposing starting PFs sinking a colossal 39.7% of their 3-point shots this year when they are on the visiting team.
The Toronto Raptors have played at the quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games on the road.
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and produce bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Raptors rank 3rd-best in in the league with 14.3 offensive rebounds per game over the last 25 games.

Favors Under

Scottie Barnes has converted 26.6% of his 3-point attempts without the home court advantage this year, ranking in the 25th percentile among all players in the league.
In terms of shots from behind the three-point arc, the 2nd-least aggressive team in the league this year has been the Raptors.
This year, the other team's starting PFs have tallied 14.6 points per game (3rd-fewest in the league) against the Brooklyn Nets, making this a hard matchup for offensive production.
The Raptors are expected to see a decline in possessions in this contest from squaring off against the 3rd-most lethargic pace-of-play team in the league this year (the Nets).
Scottie Barnes will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home stadium tends to decrease stat production across the board.