Scottie Barnes Points - Player Prop Bet 3/16/2025

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Scottie Barnes

NBA · Player Props

Scottie Barnes

F · Toronto Raptors

Points

Portland Trail Blazers vs Toronto Raptors · Mar 16, 2025

Updated Mar 17, 2025 2:59 AM EST

Analysis

Scottie Barnes Points Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 18.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 18.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Scottie Barnes has made 50.6% of his field goals over the last 5 games on the road, 5.9% higher than he's sunk over the course of the season while playing away from home.
Scottie Barnes has converted 46.7% of his three-pointers over the last 5 games on the road, 16.9% more than he's converted from three in all games this season without the home court advantage.
Scottie Barnes has played 33.9 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the league: 92nd percentile.
The 7th-speediest tempo visiting offense in the league over the last 20 games has been the Toronto Raptors.
The Raptors are expected to see a spike in possessions in this game from sharing the court with the 5th-quickest tempo home team in the league over the last 5 games (the Trail Blazers).

Favors Under

With respect to three-pointers, the Raptors's lackluster 11.6 successful threes per game places 2nd-worst in the league this year.
This year, the opposing team's starting PFs have shot 29.6% on threes (4th-lowest in the league) against the Trail Blazers, identifying this as a hard matchup.
Scottie Barnes ought to see a decline in productivity for all stats in light of playing away from home in this game.

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