Scottie Barnes Points - Player Prop Bet 3/4/2025

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Scottie Barnes

NBA · Player Props

Scottie Barnes

F · Toronto Raptors

Points

Orlando Magic vs Toronto Raptors · Mar 4, 2025

Updated Mar 5, 2025 12:04 AM EST

Analysis

Scottie Barnes Points Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-128/+100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 18.5 @ -122 before it was bet down to 17.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Scottie Barnes has converted 45.8% of his attempts from downtown over the last 5 games on the road, 16.6% more than he's converted from beyond the arc over the course of the year without the home court advantage.
Out of all players in the NBA, Scottie Barnes places in the 94th percentile for playing time, averaging a monstrous 34.6 minutes per game this year.
This year when they are the visiting team, the opposition's starting PFs have averaged 49.9% on shot attempts from the field (10th-best in the NBA) against the Magic, branding this as a good matchup.
The Raptors have played at the 7th-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games as the away team.
The Toronto Raptors have been the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA without the home court advantage this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

When it comes to offense, the Toronto Raptors's feeble 100.6 points per game as the visting team places 2nd-lowest in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The Toronto Raptors will likely see a decline in plays in this game from competing against the 2nd-slowest pace-of-play team in the NBA this year (the Orlando Magic).
Scottie Barnes is expected to suffer a drop-off in performance for all stats as a result of playing away from home in this game.

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