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Scottie Barnes Points Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-110/-120).
The money has been on the Under as it opened 19.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 19.5 @ -120.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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Among all players in the NBA, Scottie Barnes lands in the 91st percentile for field goal attempts while playing at home, averaging 15.8 per game this year.Among all players in the league, Scottie Barnes lands in the 92nd percentile for playing time, posting a massive 34.2 minutes per game at home this year.The Toronto Raptors rank as the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).Scottie Barnes has made 4.5 foul shots per game over the last 15 games, 0.9 higher than he's sunk in all games this year.Scottie Barnes will have the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home city tends to boost player performance in all facets of the game.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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As it relates to shooting, the Raptors's subpar 109.0 points per game settles in as the 6th-lowest in the NBA over the last 25 games.This year, the opposing team's starting PFs have put up 14.5 points per game (2nd-fewest in the NBA) against the Boston Celtics, creating a hard matchup for offensive performance.The 4th-most sluggish pace-of-play home offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Raptors.The Toronto Raptors will likely see a decline in plays in this contest from being pitted against the most sluggish pace away offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Celtics).This year when they are at home, the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted 3.1 free throws per game (8th-fewest in the league) against the Celtics, facing an uphill battle to draw fouls.
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