Scottie Barnes Points - Player Prop Bet 1/21/2025

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Scottie Barnes

NBA · Player Props

Scottie Barnes

F · Toronto Raptors

Points

Toronto Raptors vs Orlando Magic · Jan 21, 2025

Updated Jan 22, 2025 4:54 AM EST

Analysis

Scottie Barnes Points Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 19.5 @ -106 before it was bet up to 20.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Scottie Barnes has sunk 10.0 field goals per game over the last 5 games at home, 2.4 more than he's put through the net in all games this season on his home court.
Among all players in the NBA, Scottie Barnes ranks in the 75th percentile for 3-point attempts on his home court, tallying 4.8 per game this year.
Scottie Barnes has tallied 34.1 minutes per game on his home court this year, placing him in the 92nd percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the NBA.
The 8th-quickest tempo home offense in the league over the last 20 games has been the Raptors.
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and produce extra chances for scoring and assists, and the Toronto Raptors grade out 7th-best in in the NBA as the home team with 12.1 offensive boards per game this year.

Favors Under

The Toronto Raptors have been the 3rd-lowest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 10 games.
The matchup vs. Orlando is a challenging one; when the Orlando Magic are the visiting team, they have given up the least points per game in the NBA to opposing starting PFs over the last 10 games (15.1).
The Raptors will likely experience a decrease in plays today from squaring off against the least up-tempo pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 25 games (the Magic).
Over the last 10 games when they are at home, opposing starting PFs have attempted 2.8 free throws per game (3rd-fewest in the league) vs. the Magic, making it tough to draw fouls.

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