Scottie Barnes Points - Player Prop Bet 1/8/2025

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Scottie Barnes

NBA · Player Props

Scottie Barnes

F · Toronto Raptors

Points

New York Knicks vs Toronto Raptors · Jan 8, 2025

Updated Jan 9, 2025 12:30 AM EST

Analysis

Scottie Barnes Points Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-148/+108).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 19.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 17.5 @ +108.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Scottie Barnes has successfully made 55.2% of his field goals over the last 5 games, 8.1% higher than he's converted overall this year.
Scottie Barnes has attempted 5.5 threes per game this year, ranking in the 82nd percentile among all players in the NBA.
Scottie Barnes has averaged 34.1 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the league: 91st percentile.
The Toronto Raptors have played at the 4th-fastest pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games.
The Raptors have been the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games as the away team (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce new chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The Toronto Raptors rank as the 2nd-lowest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games.
The matchup vs. New York is a tough one for three-point shots; when the New York Knicks are playing at home, the opposition's starting PFs have shot for the lowest three percentage in the NBA this year (18.6%).
The Toronto Raptors are expected to see a decline in plays in this game from sharing the court with the 5th-slowest pace team in the league this year (the Knicks).
This year when they are on the road, the other team's starting PFs have attempted 2.6 free throws per game (5th-lowest in the league) vs. the Knicks, making it tough to get to the foul line.
Scottie Barnes figures to suffer a drop-off in output for all stats in light of playing away from home in this game.

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