Scottie Barnes Points - Player Prop Bet 2/9/2024

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Scottie Barnes

NBA · Player Props

Scottie Barnes

F · Toronto Raptors

Points

Toronto Raptors vs Houston Rockets · Feb 9, 2024

Updated Feb 10, 2024 12:47 AM EST

Analysis

Scottie Barnes Points Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 20.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 20.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Scottie Barnes has attempted 5.2 3-pointers per game this season, significantly more than his 2.9 rate last season.
Among all players in the league, Scottie Barnes rates in the 95th percentile for playing time, posting a colossal 35.2 minutes per game while on his home court this year.
The Toronto Raptors will likely see an increase in plays in this contest from sharing the court with the 4th-speediest pace team in the league over the last 15 games (the Rockets).
Over the last 10 games when they are at home, opposing clubs have collected 8.2 offensive rebounds per game (2nd-fewest in the league) against the Rockets (turning over possessions that could otherwise create bonus chances for offense).
Scottie Barnes has made 5.1 free throws per game over the last 10 games, 1.8 more than he's made overall this year.

Favors Under

This year, the opposition's starting PFs have shot 21.7% on 3-pointers (15th-lowest in the league) against the Houston Rockets, resulting in a tough matchup.
The 5th-least up-tempo tempo home offense in the league over the last 15 games has been the Raptors.
The Toronto Raptors rank as the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).

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