Scottie Barnes Points - Player Prop Bet 1/30/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Scottie Barnes

F · Toronto Raptors

Points

Chicago Bulls vs Toronto Raptors · Jan 30, 2024

Updated Jan 31, 2024 1:31 AM EST

Analysis

Scottie Barnes Points Prop is currently Over/Under 23.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 23.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 23.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Relative to last season's 6.0 mark, Scottie Barnes's shots from the field scored have risen this season to 7.6 per game.
Out of all players in the league, Scottie Barnes rates in the 95th percentile for playing time, registering an enormous 35.2 minutes per game while on the road this year.
The Raptors have played at the 7th-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games while playing away from home.
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and generate added chances for scoring and assists, and the Toronto Raptors rank 5thbest in in the league with 12.0 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.
Over the last 5 games, their opposition has secured 5.4 offensive rebounds per game (lowest in the league) vs. the Bulls (reducing possessions that could otherwise spark bonus opportunities for offense).

Favors Under

Scottie Barnes has been called for 2.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games away from his home court, 0.8 higher than he's been called for in all games this year on the road.
In terms of three-point attempts, the 5th-least aggressive offense in the league over the last 15 games has been the Raptors.
The matchup vs. the Bulls is a challenging one for shots from the field; opposing starting PFs have averaged the 13th-least shot attempts per game in the league this year (11.5).
The Toronto Raptors are expected to experience a decrease in opportunities in this game from squaring off against the least up-tempo tempo team in the league this year (the Chicago Bulls).
Scottie Barnes ought to experience a decrease in output across the board on account of being on the road in this game.