Scottie Barnes Points - Player Prop Bet 1/26/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Scottie Barnes

F · Toronto Raptors

Points

Toronto Raptors vs LA Clippers · Jan 26, 2024

Updated Jan 27, 2024 12:22 AM EST

Analysis

Scottie Barnes Points Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-114/-106).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 21.5 @ -113 before it was bet up to 21.5 @ -114.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Scottie Barnes has made 7.6 field goals per game this year, ranking him in the 90th percentile among all players in the league.
In comparison to last season's 2.9 mark, Scottie Barnes's shots from behind the three-point arc have risen this season to 5.5 per game.
Scottie Barnes has been on the court for 35.2 minutes per game when playing at home this year, placing him in the 95th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA.
The Raptors check in as the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games while playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Scottie Barnes has attempted 5.2 free throws per game over the last 5 games while on his home court, 1.3 higher than he's attempted over the course of the season at home.

Favors Under

When it comes to shooting, the Raptors's poor 112.7 points per game playing at home comes in as the 3rd-fewest in the league over the last 10 games.
The matchup vs. the LA Clippers is a hard one for three-pointers; the other team's starting PFs have posted the 14th-lowest three rate in the league this year (27.2%).
The Raptors have played at the 4th-least up-tempo tempo in the league playing at home this year.
The Clippers have played at the 3rd-most lethargic tempo in the league over the last 10 games, which should lead to fewer opportunities for the Raptors.
This year when they are on their home court, opposing clubs have nabbed 11.5 offensive rebounds per game (5th-highest in the league) vs. the LA Clippers (retaining possessions that can bring about bonus chances for offense).