Scottie Barnes Points - Player Prop Bet 1/17/2024

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Scottie Barnes

NBA · Player Props

Scottie Barnes

F · Toronto Raptors

Points

Toronto Raptors vs Miami Heat · Jan 17, 2024

Updated Jan 18, 2024 12:07 AM EST

Analysis

Scottie Barnes Points Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 18.5 @ +100 before it was bet up to 20.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Scottie Barnes has sunk 7.6 shots made from the field per game this year, ranking in the 90th percentile out of all players in the NBA.
Scottie Barnes has averaged 34.9 minutes per game when playing at home this year, placing him in the 93rd percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the NBA.
The matchup against the Heat is a favorable one for 3-point shots; the other team's starting PFs have posted the 29th-highest 3-point rate in the league this year (43.4%).
The 7th-speediest pace team in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Toronto Raptors.
The Toronto Raptors check in as the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games with the home court advantage (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The Raptors check in as the least efficient 3-point shooting team in the league playing at home this year.
The Raptors will likely suffer a drop-off in opportunities today from sharing the court with the slowest pace-of-play away offense in the league over the last 15 games (the Heat).

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