Scottie Barnes Points - Player Prop Bet 12/29/2023

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Scottie Barnes

NBA · Player Props

Scottie Barnes

F · Toronto Raptors

Points

Boston Celtics vs Toronto Raptors · Dec 29, 2023

Updated Dec 30, 2023 12:35 AM EST

Analysis

Scottie Barnes Points Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 20.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 20.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Scottie Barnes has converted 3.0 threes per game over the last 5 games on the road, 0.8 more than he's sunk in all games this year without the home court advantage.
Among all players in the NBA, Scottie Barnes registers in the 95th percentile for playing time, compiling a monstrous 35.0 minutes per game this year.
This year, opposing starting PGs have tallied 3.0 3-pointers per game (30th-highest in the league) against the Celtics, branding this as a favorable matchup.
The Toronto Raptors have played at the 8th-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games when playing on the road.
Offensive rebounds save possession and produce extra chances for scoring and assists, and the Raptors grade out 3rdbest in in the league with 12.8 offensive rebounds per game over the last 15 games.

Favors Under

The Raptors rank as the 10th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA this year.
The Boston Celtics have played at the 3rd-slowest tempo in the league over the last 5 games, which should reduce possessions for the Raptors.
The Celtics have given up the most offensive boards per game (14.2) in the league to opposing squads over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists).
The matchup vs. the Celtics is a difficult one for getting to the foul line; opposing starting PGs have attempted a lowly 2.3 foul shots per game this year (15th-least in the NBA).
Scottie Barnes will not enjoy the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home stadium generally lowers stat production in all facets of the game.

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