Scottie Barnes Points - Player Prop Bet 12/20/2023

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Scottie Barnes

NBA · Player Props

Scottie Barnes

F · Toronto Raptors

Points

Toronto Raptors vs Denver Nuggets · Dec 20, 2023

Updated Dec 21, 2023 12:45 AM EST

Analysis

Scottie Barnes Points Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-102/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 20.5 @ -113 before it was bet down to 20.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Among all players in the NBA, Scottie Barnes comes in at the 89th percentile for shots from the field drained, tallying an enormous 7.6 per game this year.
Among all players in the league, Scottie Barnes rates in the 78th percentile for threes sunk when playing at home, totaling 1.9 per game this year.
Out of all players in the league, Scottie Barnes lands in the 92nd percentile for playing time, logging a massive 34.3 minutes per game with the home court advantage this year.
The Raptors rank as the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists).
This year when they have the home court advantage, their opposition has brought down 10.2 offensive boards per game (9th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Denver Nuggets (lessening possessions that could otherwise lead to extra opportunities for offense).

Favors Under

The Toronto Raptors check in as the 8th-lowest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games as the home team.
The matchup against the Denver Nuggets is a difficult one; they have given up the 15th-least points per game in the league to the other team's starting SGs over the last 25 games (15.6).
The Toronto Raptors have played at the 4th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games.
The Nuggets have played at the 3rd-most sluggish pace-of-play in the league this year, which should lead to decreased plays for the Raptors.

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