Scottie Barnes Points - Player Prop Bet 12/15/2023

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Scottie Barnes

NBA · Player Props

Scottie Barnes

F · Toronto Raptors

Points

Toronto Raptors vs Atlanta Hawks · Dec 15, 2023

Updated Dec 16, 2023 12:38 AM EST

Analysis

Scottie Barnes Points Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 22.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 22.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Compared to last season's 13.2 rate, Scottie Barnes's shots taken have surged this season to 15.6 per game.
Compared to last year's 27.8% rate, Scottie Barnes's 3-point proficiency has jumped this year to 45.0%.
Out of all players in the NBA, Scottie Barnes measures in the 89th percentile for playing time, registering an enormous 33.5 minutes per game at home this year.
The Toronto Raptors will likely see an increase in opportunities in this game from facing the 3rd-speediest pace visiting team in the league over the last 5 games (the Hawks).
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and generate further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Raptors rank 11thbest in in the NBA at home with 12.8 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Favors Under

The Toronto Raptors have been the 10th-lowest scoring offense in the league while on their home court this year.
This year when they are the visiting squad, the other team's starting SGs have shot 31.8% on three-pointers (8th-worst in the NBA) against the Hawks, branding this as a challenging matchup.
The 3rd-most sluggish pace offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Toronto Raptors.
While on the road, the Hawks have given up the 6th-most offensive boards per game (11.9) in the NBA to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists).

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