Scottie Barnes Points - Player Prop Bet 11/29/2023

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Scottie Barnes

NBA · Player Props

Scottie Barnes

F · Toronto Raptors

Points

Toronto Raptors vs Phoenix Suns · Nov 29, 2023

Updated Nov 30, 2023 12:03 AM EST

Analysis

Scottie Barnes Points Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 16.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 17.5 @ -114.

Key Factors

Favors Over

In comparison to last year's 6.3 rate, Scottie Barnes's shots from the field scored have spiked this year to 7.7 per game.
Scottie Barnes has converted a whopping 1.9 three-point shots per game this year, significantly higher than his 0.8 mark last year.
Scottie Barnes has played 32.9 minutes per game while at home this year, putting him in the 87th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the league.
The 10th-quickest pace team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Toronto Raptors.
Offensive rebounds retain possession and bring about more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Raptors rank 13thbest in in the NBA without the home court advantage with 13.6 offensive boards per game this year.

Favors Under

When it comes to scoring, the Toronto Raptors's unimpressive 111.4 points per game away from home ranks 9th-weakest in the league this year.
This year when they are on the road, the opposition's starting SGs have tallied 1.3 threes per game (15th-fewest in the NBA) against the Phoenix Suns, marking this as a hard matchup.
The Raptors will likely suffer a reduction in opportunities today from facing the most sluggish pace home offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Suns).
The Phoenix Suns have given up the 6th-most offensive boards per game (11.9) in the NBA to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists).

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